A weak cold front moved through Florida on Saturday afternoon, primarily bringing clouds and eventually ushering in drier air across the Panhandle and Central Florida. The calm weather over the weekend provided a respite for relief efforts following several weeks of heavy rainfall that caused significant flooding, with lakes and rivers overflowing their banks.
As the week begins, winds are expected to be variable, particularly in the early days. Temperatures will remain in the low to mid-80s for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, especially in Central Florida, while South Florida will warm to the mid to upper 80s on Wednesday. Most of the state will experience mostly calm weather with a slight chance of afternoon showers in interior areas on Tuesday. Rain chances will increase midweek as the front moves over Lake Okeechobee and South Florida.
A low-pressure system moving south from the northern Plains is followed by a very cold air mass. By Friday morning, temperatures are expected to drop into the 50s in South Florida, the upper 40s in Central Florida, and the upper 30s to low 40s in North Florida and the Panhandle. These cooler conditions will persist throughout the weekend.
In North Florida, parts of the Panhandle may experience morning frost. Temperatures will be well below average next weekend, with some interior areas north of I-10 potentially dropping into the 30s overnight. For context, Tallahassee last recorded a low below 40 degrees Fahrenheit on April 21, 2026, and the temperature last dropped below 38 degrees on March 20, 2026. In Pensacola, the last time the temperature reached 38 degrees was March 18, 2026.
North Florida will see temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s on Tuesday, with slightly warmer conditions on Wednesday. The cold front is expected to push through on Thursday afternoon, with highs reaching the low 70s before temperatures quickly fall to the low to mid-40s overnight into Friday morning. Gainesville’s lowest forecast temperatures are likely to occur on Saturday and Sunday mornings, with lows potentially dropping to around 41 degrees Fahrenheit on both days. The city last recorded a low of 40 degrees or below on March 20, 2026. Jacksonville is forecast to reach 41 degrees on Saturday morning, with similar temperatures expected on Sunday. The city last recorded a low of 40 degrees or below on March 18, 2026. Thursday may also bring gusty northwesterly winds up to 30 mph.
The front is not expected to bring significant rain to North Florida. However, with drier air and strengthening winds, elevated fire danger could develop on Thursday and Friday. Relative humidity will be extremely low, and strong winds could cause any developing fires to spread rapidly.
Patchy fog will develop over Central Florida in the coming nights. A few passing showers are expected on Wednesday as the front approaches, with clouds lingering into Thursday. Rain will cease and clouds will clear Thursday night into Friday morning, when temperatures will start to drop. Friday highs will reach the mid to upper 60s, but clear evening skies will allow heat to escape quickly, causing temperatures to fall into the 40s across the I-4 corridor. Orlando’s low should be around 47 degrees Saturday morning, while areas near Tampa Bay will stay near 50 degrees. Both regions last saw temperatures below 50 degrees on March 18, 2026.
South Florida has started the week mainly dry, but rain chances will increase slightly on Wednesday, particularly in the Everglades and interior portions of Palm Beach, Broward, Miami-Dade, and Collier counties. Wednesday will bring the highest chance of showers and an isolated thunderstorm due to increased instability from the approaching front. Temperatures in the region could fall into the mid to upper 50s from Friday night through Sunday morning. By early next week, temperatures will begin to rebound, with morning lows returning to the upper 60s. Winds will shift to the northwest at 5 to 10 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph on Thursday and Friday.
Southwest Florida will be slightly cooler, with temperatures potentially dropping into the low 50s Saturday night into Sunday morning. Naples last recorded a temperature of 52 degrees or below on March 18, 2026. Many South Floridians, especially in the southeast, can expect decreased humidity and a couple of chilly mornings over the weekend. Miami’s low temperature is forecast to drop to 60 degrees, which is the same low recorded on March 22, 2026. However, temperatures will be cooler inland, with some suburban locations from Kendall northward through Coral Springs potentially dropping into the upper 50s.
