The SportsLine computer model has released its score predictions for Week 11 of the 2026 college football season, highlighting a projected double-digit road win for No. 17 South Carolina against Arkansas. The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times to generate data for spreads, over/under totals, and money-line picks. For the Saturday matchup, the prediction is a 31-20 victory for the Gamecocks, who are listed as a 7.5-point favorite on the betting lines.
The model identifies the South Carolina spread pick as the most likely outcome, occurring in 58% of the simulations. Additionally, the Under 51.5 total is projected to hit in 52% of the scenarios. This prediction comes as the Gamecocks look to maintain their recent momentum and stay in the College Football Playoff conversation.
South Carolina has surged after a difficult start to the season. Coach Shane Beamer expressed confidence that quarterback LaNorris Sellers will play through an ankle injury. The team has won four straight games, including outright upsets against Tennessee and Florida. During this winning streak, the Gamecocks covered the spread in all four victories, a significant turnaround from a three-game losing streak that previously placed Beamer on the hot seat.
In contrast, Arkansas is struggling with a 3-6 overall record. The Razorbacks are tied with Vanderbilt for last in the SEC at 1-5 in conference play. Their defensive performance is mixed, ranking 13th in the conference in scoring defense, but they rank last in the SEC in scoring offense. The model suggests that a decisive win by South Carolina is the most probable path to keep the Gamecocks relevant in postseason discussions.
Other notable lines for Week 11 feature several top-ranked teams as heavy favorites. No. 1 Georgia is a 15.5-point home favorite against Missouri, while No. 3 Alabama is also a 15.5-point favorite at Vanderbilt. No. 4 UCLA is a 10-point home favorite against Illinois in a Friday night game. The toughest challenge for a top team is No. 2 Utah, who are a 2.5-point road favorite at No. 23 Arizona. The Wildcats have defeated the Utes in their last two matchups.
Several other games could impact the College Football Playoff picture. No. 13 Wake Forest is a 1.5-point underdog at SMU. No. 8 Tennessee is a 2.5-point underdog at Texas A&M. No. 12 Texas Tech is a 3.5-point underdog at No. 25 Oklahoma State. No. 18 USC is a 7.5-point underdog at No. 9 Indiana, marking the first Big Ten matchup between the Trojans and Hoosiers.
The model also projects upsets for multiple underdogs across the FBS schedule. While the specific score predictions for every game are available through the service, the data indicates a competitive slate despite the dominance of the top four teams. The odds provided are via FanDuel and are subject to change.
The full schedule for the weekend includes games on Thursday, November 12, featuring Memphis at South Florida and Louisiana at UL-Monroe. Friday, November 13, brings Florida State at Pittsburgh, Illinois at UCLA, and Houston at Colorado. The majority of the action takes place on Saturday, November 14, with high-profile contests such as Michigan at Oregon, Boston College at Notre Dame, and Texas at LSU.
Betting lines for the weekend include a 29.5-point spread for Notre Dame over Boston College and an 11-point spread for Oregon over Michigan. The total for the Michigan-Oregon game is set at 38.5 points, one of the lowest totals on the slate. Meanwhile, the Texas Tech-Oklahoma State game carries the highest total at 72.5 points, reflecting the high-scoring nature of both offenses.
As the season progresses, these predictions and odds provide a snapshot of the current landscape in college football. Fans and bettors are encouraged to review the latest data before making decisions on the upcoming games.
