A nine-game NBA schedule on Friday is highlighted by the San Antonio Spurs putting their 10-game winning streak on the line against the Golden State Warriors. Stephen Curry will sit out for Golden State, while Victor Wembanyama is set to take the floor for San Antonio, and the SportsLine Projection Model has identified several player props worth considering across the slate.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. It has produced nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks since 2018, a stretch that includes five consecutive seasons of four-digit returns. The model heads into Week 4 of the 2026-27 season on a 28-12 run, a 70% success rate, on top-rated spread picks dating back to last season.
Among the model's featured player props for Friday, Nov. 13: James Harden Over 23.5 points plus assists (-113), Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (-128) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 points (-120).
Harden has endured a difficult opening stretch this season, converting just 39% of his attempts from the field. With Evan Mobley unavailable for Cleveland's matchup against the Miami Heat, the Cavaliers will need someone to help replace that production. Harden is averaging 16.7 points and 5.6 assists per game, but he is coming off a 32-point performance against the New York Knicks. The SportsLine props model projects him at 28.5 combined points and assists.
Golden State ranks among the league's better teams at keeping opponents off the glass, but Wembanyama presents a different kind of challenge. The Spurs big man is pulling down 11.7 rebounds per game this season, and while he has topped this line only twice in his last six outings, two of those misses ended at exactly 11 rebounds. The model projects 12.1 rebounds for Wembanyama on Friday.
Injuries have piled up for the Oklahoma City Thunder, yet Gilgeous-Alexander continues to carry the load. The two-time reigning league MVP is averaging 29.7 points per game, though he has cooled slightly since pouring in 85 points over two games against the Cavaliers to open November. A date with the Los Angeles Clippers gives him a strong opportunity to heat back up, as the Clippers sit 24th in defensive rating. The model projects 34.7 points for Gilgeous-Alexander.
The Spurs and Warriors showdown figures to draw much of the night's attention, with Wembanyama off to a blazing start this season. Whether he can sustain that level against Golden State is one of Friday's central questions, and his rebounding prop sits among the wagers the model favors on a busy evening around the league.
