CBS Sports analyst Brinson has released his betting recommendations for NFL Week 9, highlighting specific matchups and player props for the games scheduled for this week. The analysis follows a difficult Thursday night slate and focuses on finding value in Sunday's schedule. Brinson suggests that the upcoming slate offers more promising opportunities than the previous night's contests.
Among the futures market, the Jacksonville Jaguars present interesting odds for a Super Bowl run. Brinson favors the Jaguars against the Chicago Bears at 25 to 1 odds. He also notes that a matchup against the Los Angeles Rams at 29 to 1 is reasonable if one believes in the Rams' new offensive strategy. Longer longshots include the Jaguars facing the Green Bay Packers at 70 to 1 odds, which he describes as a juicy opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the Jaguars' future.
For the main game picks, Brinson recommends the Indianapolis Colts plus 5.5 points against the Dallas Cowboys. He argues that while the Colts are in a rebuild phase, the Cowboys should not be laying that many points on the road. The presence of running back Jonathan Taylor, who may be in trade discussions, adds to the appeal. Brinson notes that the Cowboys have one of the worst defenses against running backs, making this a favorable spot for Taylor to excel in a potential shootout.
The second game recommendation is the Los Angeles Chargers plus 6 points against the Houston Texans. Although the Chargers are struggling with a 0-7 record and a weak offensive line, Brinson feels the spread is slightly too high. He points out that the Texans, who are coming off a bye, are a 2-5 team that recently lost at home. He believes the Chargers are unlikely to lose by a significant margin in this contest.
Brinson also advises taking the New England Patriots minus 3 points against the Green Bay Packers. He anticipates that the point spread may shift closer to 2.5 points as the weekend approaches. The return of linebacker Micah Parsons to practice is a factor, but Brinson thinks the Patriots will perform well at home, especially if Parsons does not play. He also notes that Patriots coach Mike Vrabel may be motivated by the return of Tom Brady to Foxborough, which could lead to a strong defensive effort.
In the player props section, Brinson suggests betting on Ashton Jeanty to exceed 27.5 rushing yards. Despite being limited in carries last week, Brinson expects a bounceback performance. He views the reduced usage as a motivational tactic rather than a permanent benching. The low yardage threshold makes this a safe bet, even if Jeanty shares carries with other backs.
For receiving yards, Brinson recommends Ja'Marr Chase to go over 77.5 yards. He was surprised to see Chase and Tee Higgins with identical totals, but he believes the Bengals' offense is well positioned against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have a defense that struggles more against the pass than the run, creating a favorable environment for the Bengals' skill players.
Regarding anytime touchdown scorers, Brinson highlights Jameson Williams of the Detroit Lions at plus 165 odds. Williams has scored five touchdowns in his last three games and continues to be a central part of the Lions' offensive design. Brinson believes his price has not fully adjusted to his recent production level.
Blake Corum of the Los Angeles Rams is another anytime touchdown recommendation at plus 110 odds. With the Rams adopting a more aggressive run-heavy offense, Corum has received significant touches in recent weeks. Brinson argues that his price should be lower, reflecting his importance in the current offensive scheme.
Finally, Braelon Allen of the New York Jets is suggested at plus 240 odds. With Breece Hall returning from injury, there is value in Allen finding the end zone. Brinson expects the Jets to continue utilizing Allen's size in the red zone, particularly if Hall is viewed as a trade candidate and needs to stay healthy.
